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German Chancellor Olaf Scholz signals concessions on timing of confidence vote

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Germany’s Chancellor Olaf Scholz has said he might be prepared to bring forward a confidence vote in his government, raising the prospect of much earlier snap elections in the Eurozone’s largest economy.

Scholz had originally scheduled the confidence vote for January 15, paving the way for elections in March. But the opposition has insisted it should be held as early as next week to avoid a long period of political uncertainty, a move that would allow elections to be held in January.

Scholz brought the curtain down on his fragile three-party coalition on Wednesday by sacking finance minister Christian Lindner, leader of the smallest party in the alliance, the pro-business Free Democrats (FDP).

The move marked the climax of a long-running dispute within the coalition between the Social Democrats (SPD) and Greens on the one hand and the FDP on the other over the direction of economic policy.

With the FDP pulling its ministers out of the cabinet, Scholz now heads an SPD-Green minority government.

Scholz indicated he might be flexible on timing if the SPD and Greens could reach a deal with opposition parties, including the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and FDP, to get some outstanding bills through parliament.

“It would be good if the democratic groups in the Bundestag could reach agreement on what laws can be passed this year,” Scholz told reporters on Friday on the sidelines of an informal EU summit in Budapest. “This agreement could then provide an answer to the question of when would be the right time to table a confidence vote.”

He cautioned, however, that setting a date for the poll was not a “purely political” matter, since the federal election commissioner needed enough time to organise a “fair democratic election”.

A spokesman for CDU leader Friedrich Merz said he would only comment after talks had taken place, noting that Scholz had not yet named a date for them.

Meanwhile, Green party officials said Robert Habeck, the deputy chancellor and economy minister, would announce on Friday that he was running as the Green candidate for chancellor in the coming election.

Habeck has long harboured ambitions for Germany’s top job, but in the last Bundestag election in 2021, he stepped back to allow Annalena Baerbock to run as the party’s candidate.

However, Baerbock, Germany’s foreign minister, told CNN in an interview in July that she would not run for the top job again, opening the way for Habeck to stand.

His candidacy will need to be confirmed at a Green party conference next week in the west German city of Wiesbaden.

Habeck’s chances of becoming chancellor are slim. Approval ratings for the Greens have slumped in recent months, with polls placing them at 9 to 11 per cent.

Merz said Habeck’s plan at a time when the party was polling so badly had “a humorous aspect”.

There had already been some indications that Habeck was gearing up to announce a bid. This week he reappeared on X, six years after abandoning Twitter and Facebook.

“It’s easy to leave these places to the ranters and populists,” he wrote on X. “But taking the easy way out can’t be the solution. Not today. Not this week. Not at this time. That’s why I’m back on X.”

Another post on X shows Habeck editing a text, with a calendar in the background showing November 8 marked in red.

Habeck comes from the “realo” or pragmatic wing of the Greens. As deputy chancellor, he was involved in policies that were hard for other Greens to stomach such as tougher rules on immigration.

He is seen as a gifted orator. However, his reputation was damaged by the controversy surrounding a law pushed through by his ministry, aimed at phasing out gas and oil-fired boilers and replacing them with heat pumps run on renewable energy. Many saw it as an unwarranted intervention in the private sphere.

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